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~1.48 keys
Strange Dead Ringer
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Okay this price is a wacky one to get and I'm very open to feedback, but here is my explanation. The majority of sales happen at 5 refined. Barely any happen at even 4.66, but with some sellers still going that low I don't feel safe putting it up too high. However, there are floods of 2 key sellers many of which have people willing to buy.

SOLD/WILLING BUYERS:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8894513 1 key + 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8903363 1 key + 1 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8693310 2 keys and an offer of 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8470553 2 keys (2 sold)

UNSOLD:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8903231 1 key + 1.33 (5 ref) (2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8615310 2 keys and OP adds .33 (2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8890902 1 key + 2 ref (5.66)

OFFERS:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8394785 Appirition's Aspect (4.55 ref) Also 2 keys which was retracted

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8846730 4.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8941285 3 ref + quackenbirdt (4.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8942623 3.33 + craft hat (4.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8929435 1 key + 1 ref (op wants 4.77)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8236306 5 ref also Festive Sniper

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8665687 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3377814 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8927744 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8182652 5.33 ref, 2 keys, 1 key + 2 ref,

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8913580 G. Quackenbirdt + craft hat (~7 ref)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8883795 2 keys if OP adds his S. Escape plan (5.33)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8681038 2 keys + 1 ref if OP adds S. Spycicle (~2 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8670625 2 keys + 1 ref + S. L'et + S.Blaster if OP adds S. Revolver (~2 keys)

STILL NEW:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8928556 5.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8942438 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8913934 5 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8939343 1 key 1 ref (4.66)

Can't do 1.5 keys or even 2 keys because of all the lower sellers.

Also sold my own for 6 ref a few days ago, had an offer of 1 key + 2 ref.

I think thats all, let me know what you think. I'm going out for a bit so I expect to be flooded with notifications when I get back.

    Godommit people I don't want to hear how good my proof is I want you to tell me why specifically this is right or what a small change could be.

      your proof sucks aside from being spot on. happy?

    excellent proof

    upvoted

      I personally sold one for 5.66 ref with EASE.

      Everyone, upvote!

        Upvote because i see a lot links and blue star!!


        But i would say that it looks good, but it seems like it is kind of all over the place. 4.66-5.33 seems like the middle ground and might be better,

        but then there's higher so i would say 5-5.66 is fine.

          Thanks for the input. These things are just skyrocketing now for some reason and pricing is difficult >.<

            Dead Ringer for President 2016. Side note: Your proof is good and I can't find any fault with the sellers/buyers.

          I begrudgingly agree with this assessment. About 20 minutes ago someone blind added me saying they wanted to pay me 5 ref for my DR that I hadn't even started advertizing. I replied with "Holding onto it and considering a higher price, backpack is voting on it right now and I can't find many for under 5 these days". The guy immediately offered me 5.66, no questions.


          Seems the price hike is warranted.

            Thanks for the info :)

            This person sold at 5 ref (3 days old) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8889599

            I sold mine at 5.33 ref a day after i put up the trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8822191


            Hope this helps

              That helps a lot, thanks :)

              Easily sold mine for 2 Keys, these things are definitely going up in price. Upvoted.

                Yeah I'm sure I'll have to raise it even more in about a few days, 2 keys is already being seen as possible everywhere >.<

                  I think 2 keys is still outlandish and the result of looney toons. People love their neat and tidy prices, and overpricing for the hope of 2 keys is pretty evident on Outpost. 2 keys just makes it easier for someone to stand out with a normal price though.

                    Well people will buy it for that. I put mine up for 2 keys, and within 2 days I got 2 adds, paying that.