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Updating my previous suggestion, because this hat is getting offers higher than the current listed price. As usual, all prices on unusuals are according to this website.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8390149
Two offers of a Blizzardy Storm Hot Dogger (22-27 keys) and a Bubbles Panama (19-24 keys) appear on this link. The Panama offer has been hidden, whilst the Hot Dogger is set up as a current offer.
Two other links have the helmet for sale, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8924004 and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8554368. However, there are no offers up
If there are two other trades with no offers please wait on this suggestion until offers on those two can be used as proof. A single offer in unusual overpay is hardly a determiner for the pricing of this unusual. Thanks
You made a suggestion for Smoking.
Also, you must take the factor of unusual overpay in your suggestion..