Yes, I’m aware I own one, no need to tell me. :P However, I’ve noticed that sellers are starting to get offers of 25 keys and above (even bud offers!), and not very many buyers get offers of 24 keys. I propose a conservative price increase -- allow me to convince you!

Let’s first look at what sellers are being offered.

SELLERS WITH OFFERS OF 25 KEYS AND UP:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8827827 - (w/ SP: Headshot Kills) offer of Orbiting Fire Tough Guy’s Toque (~1.1-1.3 buds) (6 days ago), offer of 25 keys (4 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8776616 - offer of 20 keys + Salvaged Crate #40 (~6-6.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8891826 - (note: same seller as above), offer of Bubbling Officer’s Ushanka (~19-24 keys) + Gold Botkiller Minigun (~5-5.5 keys) (1 day ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8829384 – (w/ SPs: Buildings Destroyed, Headshot Kills, Heavies Killed) offer of 1 bud (1 week ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8801703 – (w/ SPs: Domination Kills, Headshot Kills, Demomen Killed) offer of 25 keys (6 days ago), 1 bud (11 hours ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4983978 - offer of 1 bud (1 week ago), offer of 1 bud (2 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5448785 - offer of Nuts & Bolts Cosa Nostra (~23-27 keys) (1 week ago), offer of 1 bud (4 days ago), Orbiting Fire Grimm Hatte (~1.3-1.6 buds), if seller adds sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4045384 - offer of Steaming Chieftain’s Challenge (~27-37 keys) (2 weeks ago), 25 keys (2 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4825510 - offer of 27 keys (1 week ago), 1 bud (4 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4874609 - offer of 1 bud (4 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8780071 – (w/ SPs: Airbone Enemy Kills, Headshot Kills) offer of 25 keys (1 week ago), offer of 28 keys (2 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8737192 – (w/ SPs: Headshot Kills, Heavies Killed, Airborne Enemy Kills) offer of 29 keys (1 day ago)

SELLERS SELLING FOR 25 KEYS:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8340699 – Sold for 25 keys (note, was not bumped often, closed 1 week ago)

As you can see, it’s currently very possible to get a bud for the Strange Festive Sniper Rifle (or at the very least 25 keys), and possibly more if you have some patience.

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On the flip side of the coin, most buyers are unsuccessful because the vast majority of them offer lowball prices. Thus, it is hard to find evidence of buyers asking for 24 keys. The most I have to work with are offers from sellers. These are the lowest I could find:

BUYERS WITH OFFERS:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7375177 - offer of 26 keys (w/ SP: Headshot Kills) (2 weeks ago), offer of 25 keys (6 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7753923 - offer of 1 bud (w/ SPs: Headshot Kills, Domination Kills, Revenge Kills) (1 week ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8535753 - same offer as above (1 week ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8345139 - This guy claims to have a C/O of 24 keys w/ SP: Headshot Kills, but I cannot find any verifiable evidence of this offer, nor can I see how long ago this offer was made.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8555797 - Similarly, I cannot see where the C/O of 24 keys or 27 keys w/ SPs: Headshot Kills and Domination Kills came from. Therefore, this isn’t valid counter-evidence.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8279726 - WTT his Orbiting Fire Buckaroos Hat (~18-23 keys) for S.F. Sniper Rifle, offer of Buckaroos + 3 keys (1 week ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8865200 - wants offers, one offer of 1 bud (2 days ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7694736 - WTT Unusual L’inspecteur and/or a Crate #30 for Strange Festive offers, offer of S.F. Sniper Rifle (w/ SPs: Headshot Kills, Snipers Killed) for the Crate #30 (1 week ago), one offer of S.F. Sniper Rifle + S.F. Frontier Justice for the Crate #30

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8887237 - WTT S. Machina (22-23 keys) + 1 key for S.F. Sniper Rifle, offer of S. Machina + 3 keys (4 days ago), buyer interested

This guy outright wants to pay 26 keys:

BUYERS PAYING IN SUGGESTED RANGE:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8936710 - WTB for 26 keys

As you can see, it’s quite difficult finding a buyer paying 24 keys. Most buyers are offering lowball prices, and in return are being offered 25-27 keys by sellers.

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COUNTER-PROOF:

Yes, I’m giving counter-evidence for my own suggestion! :D

Inevitably, there will be someone who is selling in the current range. Here is this someone on Outpost:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9008008 - Price: 24 keys, with SPs: Dominations, and Snipers Killed.

As demonstrated by my evidence shown above, it is very possible to sell for 25-26 keys with some time. Because of this, I infer that he seems a little impatient to sell– he decided to first sell for 25 keys here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8997639 and closed it within hours. You may see the same listing in the Classifieds: ([url]http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/664/11/0[/url]) He’s also selling a Strange Widowmaker and a Strange Degreaser for slightly under backpack.tf price, so if you want a good deal… :P

Anyway, from the evidence provided, I maintain that there are enough offers of 25+ keys and up to suggest a small price increase. I decided not to set the high range at 27 keys because there isn’t enough evidence to support this (keep in mind that some bud offers are being made for Rifles with Strange parts). I’m being as impartial as can – I went through all buyer and seller trades on Outpost. Please let me know of any discrepancies with my evidence!

Edit: because formatting and other typos.