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The last succesful price change for this hat was 4 months ago, and evidence on Outpost suggest that the current price is inaccurate. Please note that all unusual prices are according to this website.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8361840
One serious offer of 2 buds for this hat, as well as 1 bud plus a Stormy Storm Big Elfin Deal (1.1-1.5 buds), Stormy Storm Familiar Fez (1.9-2.1 buds) and 2 buds + 2011 festive weapon set (all nine of them totaling 20 keys).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8776056
The Stormy Storm Big Elfin Deal + bud offer appears here again, albeit with a few keys added in. The Stormy Storm Familiar Fez offer also appears on this link.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1768410
Going by the 2 month period between the hat retirement and now, offers are visible for a Circling Peace Sign Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet (23-29 keys) + 1 bud,, totaling 1.8-2.1 buds and two offers of 2 buds pure.
In case anyone is asking were the 2.2 buds factors in, I am deducting at least 12 keys off of the 2 bud + 2011 Festive Weapon set.offer