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Forgive me for the miscue, I accidentally posted this for a suggestion for a Steaming Demoman's Fro by accident. The last successful price change for this hat was 3 months ago, and offers on Outpost suggest that this price is inaccurate. All unusual prices are according to this website
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8846607
We see one hidden offer of 1 bud pure, an offer of 1 bud plus 2 keys, and another for a Smoking Carouser's Capotain (19-25 keys), Strange Festive Holy Mackarel (6 keys) and Vintage Soldier's Stash (3-3.5 keys), totaling 28-34 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8591344
Another offer of 1 bud is hidden, later adjusted to 1 bud + Portal 2 Soundtrack Box (10-11 keys), totaling 37-39 keys. Other offers include an Orbiting Fire Tippler's Tricorne (23-27 keys), a Strange Festive Sniper Rifle (25-26 keys), a Blizzardy Tam O' Shanter (24-31 keys), a Circling TF Logo Scotsman's Stove Pie (23-29 keys), a Massed Flies Drill Hat (1.1-1.3 buds), ans a Searing Plasma Sultan's Ceremonial (1.1-1.3 buds).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8175920
Offers on this link include 34 keys pure, Blizzardy Storm Snaggletooth (1.5-1.9 buds ), Blizzzardy Storm Old Guadalajara (1.1-1.4), Blizzardy Storm Safe n' Sound (25-32 keys), an Orbiting Fire Demoman's Fro (1-1.3 buds) + 7 ref + Craft Hat, and a Blizzardy Storm Tam O' Shanter (24-31 keys) plus Salvaged Crate 40 (5.5-6 keys), totaling 29.5-37 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8456730 - sold for o.fire fro (1-1.3) + 7.33 ref + v.hair (2 keys)
The highest offer on this hat is 1 bud + portal 2 box, which is about 1.4 buds (although portal2 box is somewhat hard to sell). The other offers on the hat are in the area of 1-1.3 bud value, and your first link also has a 1.33 buyout. Maybe a price of 1-1.33 would be better?