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7 months old price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8744709
No B/O set
Offer of 14 keys + Str. Part Projectiles Reflected (1.5 keys) + TS (1.2-1.5 keys)
Previous owner http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8672166 seems to have sold for 14 keys
Previous owner http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8641544 wanted 2 Bill's (16 keys), had someone interested (even though he traded to someone else)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8572145
B/O of 20 keys
Offered 14 keys
TF Logo Ketche (13-16 keys) + sweets
17 keys (hid their own post, possibly retracted)
Steaming Stuntman (18-23 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8794214
B/O of 1 Bud
Offer of 15 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8652613
Best offer is 13 keys
Previous owner wanted a Flies Medic hat http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8406106
Got offered an N&B Doctor's Sack (13-16 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8597891
B/O of 17 keys
Been offered 15 keys. Had an offer of 16 keys but it was retracted
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8289682
No B/O listed
Had the same Stuntman offer but the guy wanted sweets with it
Hard to say what was the rest of the conversation as his posts were hidden
Your proof supports the current range.
A sell for 14, and another for 2 Bill's say otherwise. Offers are always above 12 keys too.
One sell isn't enough to change the price. It looks like the low end is wrong, yes, but there is little to no support of the high end change.
The 15 keys offers aren't being taken, the 2 Bill's trade, the 17 keys and the 16 keys offer, the 14 keys + Strange Part + paint offer.
Two of the last three were retracted, and the last is an overpay in items. I don't think any of those can be considered proof for that upper range.