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Another old hat price I came upon when checking proof for other suggestions...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9011216
BO: 5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7993586
SOLD 1 day ago
Sale price: ghosts attendant (2.7-3.4, old price) + steaming trilby (26-32 keys), ~ 3.8 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8176897
SOLD 1 month ago
Sale price: ~4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8277319
SOLD 3 weeks ago
Sale price: 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8788485
SOLD 1 week ago
Sale price: O.fire KE (4.7-5.6, old price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6561056
SOLD 3 months ago
Sale price: c.moon pith (4.6-5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4727862
Trade has been open for over 5 months
• 4 months ago, was offered 6 buds
• rejected many offers of 4 buds
Conclusion: This hat has never been voted on, and the old price is pretty low. 4 months ago this hat was offered 6 buds, but it has been a long while since then and current offers aren't that high. That particular trader has refused a bunch of 4 bud offers, so I'm setting 4 as the low price. Some of the previous trades show that this hat is basically worth at least 4. The trade for c.moon pith and o.fire KE are slightly higher, so I think this hat can probably get 4.6 buds.
Yes, probably you are right, I agree. UP+