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Proof includes 8 ACTUAL SALES in the last month
So, I'm quickselling mine for 24 keys (I got it yesterday as part of a huge deal involving multiple unusuals and items) and a buyer asked me to prove that he could make profit on it. I tracked down sales and offers in the past month and decided to just use my research for a suggestion as well. Last suggestion had almost no proof.
Most of these are actual sales in the last month ---
PURE DEALS-
30 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8529639 - sold for 1 buds + 3 keys (30 keys at the time)
27 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8227955 - sold for 1 buds (at the time, 27 keys), also rejected offer of 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8259176 - sold for 1 buds (at the time, 27 keys), also rejected offer of 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8668649 - sold for b/o of 1 buds (at the time, 27 keys)
25 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8759697 - unsure what it sold for but has 25 key offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8669026 - 24 keys + sweets offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8616016 - 24 and 25 key offers
24 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3286825 - 24 key offer rejected
UNUSUAL DEALS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8669026 - sold for 28 key unusual (bubbling crown)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3286825 - 28 keys in mixed (dogger+6-7 keys in sweets)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8937582 - 24 keys in unusuals rejected
There was another one sold for 28 keys in mixed (steaming bonk helm + 1 bills) but I can't seem to find that.
Conclusion: Many offers of 24 keys, most of them rejected - low end. Many sold at 27 keys pure. And one sold at 30 keys pure. I'll use 28 keys as the high end.
nice upvote
Thanks, appreciate it. Took some time to make. I think the proof needs to be spectacular if you are gonna raise the price on an item you own.