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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5743729
Blizzardy Tough Guy's Toque : Flaming latern 1 of 2 Conquistador : Flaming latern Magistrate's Mullet : Purple Energy lucky shot + strange festive minigun : strange sapper : strange widowmarker and B.M.O.C
Lantern Conquis(2.7-3.4)
Blizz toque(2.4-2.9)
Lantern mullet(1.5-1.8)
P.E Lucky Shot(4.5-5)
S.F Mini(buds)
Sapper+bmoc+widow(20 keys)
I will take off some unusuals overpay
Some other evidence:
This guy, who bought it from the trade above, had his backpack go up around 12.3 buds when he sold it on: http://backpack.tf/id/76561197986957306
The current owners' trade was closed for inactivity, but his offers weren't great. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7404313
I think the suggested price might be slightly too high based on a trade from 2 months ago.