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Updating an old price. 29 in the wild, 2 on outpost.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7809596
Offers:
-bud+ some keys
-bud+5 keys
-33 keys
-bud +4 keys
-bud (A bunch of times)
-29 keys
-bud +6 keys
-bunch of hats
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8817269
-bud+4 keys
-buds +2 keys
-green smoking whoopie cap and 6 keys
-Orbiting planets chieftains challenge + nuts and bolts sober stuntmen
-bud
-seller basically indicates he wants 1.3-1.4 for it in one of the posts.
I'm on mobile so don't hate if it's not perfect. It's also a pain to copy paste & look up stuff so i ignored many of the unusual offers for the most part. Anyway, based on these refused offers, this range looks about right and should be fair to the buyers and the sellers.