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3 on market, 2 with notable offers, think this is a reasonable bump
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9029523
1 bud 5 keys (rejected, seller seems to be looking for 1.5 pure)
Swag Swatter with blizz (painted white) rejected, (1.5) offerer wants to add.
Stormy glengarry (rejected) (1.1)
Stormy Little buddy (told to add) (1.5 ish)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8940039
one offer of ~40 mixed (vivid festivizer + bills + 4 keys) (Accepted, trade seemingly not completed)
~44 (sf sniper with head shots, sf grenade, 8 keys) (rejected)
swag swatter with blizz offered here, rejected
bubbling charmers (rejected) (1.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9013591
only other one on the market, no offers of note.
Looks like people are willing to pay about 1.5 (1.63 was the max offer in items) and 1.3 was the lowest accepted (festivizer+ bills/keys), it was also around the median for the offers of both trades, making it a decent low end.
well non of them offered 1.5 in pure or overpay 1.8 to set highest value 1.5 , i'd say 1.2-1.4 but it's not a big deal 0.1 not much different so take up vote and be more accurate in future please , Thanks
I think you and I account for overpay a bit differently, The values of 40 and 44 keys were calculated using the low end of the range (either on here or what I could find on OP) and then either .1 or .2buds subtracted, depending on ease of resell. I was actually tempted to say 1.6 for this, but without a pure offer in that range, I held off.
SF weapons hard to resell them specially the Grenade kinda cancer and that overpay 1.6 would be 1.4 or less in pure .
Edit : those trades are up for 1-5 days really too early to set price based on their offers , i'd see some successful sold trades .