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3.5 keys is where majority of sales are. Possible to get it at 3 keys and possible to sell for 4 keys.
SOLD/WILLING BUYERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8991100 3.5 keys (14 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9067210 V. Texas Ten-Gallon painted Lime (~3.5 keys)
UNSOLD:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9047005 3.5 keys (4 days, has lowered price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9104279 4 keys (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9079267 4 keys (2 days) (offer of 12 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8968666 4 keys (6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9036192 4 keys (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8965701 4 keys (1 week, lowered the price at some point)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/1015/1/0 Several at 4 keys unsold for 2-6 days
OFFERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8949613 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9088277 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9109646 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8997670 3 keys declined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9014910 3.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9032648 14 ref, another of 13
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9090089 13 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8963264 Black G. Anger
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8992953 MK.II Gold Flame
STILL NEW:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9121276 3.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9126153 3 keys
quite logical price drop
UP
http://bazaar.tf/trade/144115 - 3 keys 3 ref offer
it's rare to push 4 keys (and i didn't think of capturing the screen at the time) but saw it trade for 4 keys on a pvp server 2 days ago.
i think it may be too early to get rid of the upper bound.
My point is not that it can't go for 4 keys, but that you can get it on both sides of 3.5. There are not enough trades on either side to warrant a 3-4 range, but there are plenty at 3.5, so I made an average.
this is a fair assessment but since price volatility is very high on this just released item, a range would, in my opinion be better. i'm staying neutral
Despite the fact that there is enough evidence to support your claim, people are still selling at 4 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8991100 --- Sold for 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8991484 --- Multiple offers from 4 keys
Edit: *Insert fail.png here* Upvote, but my case rests.
You know there is an edit button right beside the comment button, use that next time. Makes things cleaner ^-^
Ik, but if I edited, my point wouldn't be as clear, and we may have another problem like what happened earlier. And we wouldn't want that, now would we?
Then you edit and write below it "EDIT: WHATEVER I WANT TO SAY HERE". Bold letters and caps make things pretty clear. Its what I do.
Cheers, man. Just going to remove most everything once you've seen this , so there's no clutter.
Nah, don't bother. Other new people may have the same worries and get info from it. Thats how I learned what to do :)
Danka. Good luck, my friend.