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Quite an old price (5 months). Needs a bit of a change. Finding sales for this item is incredibly difficult so if you find something else that's very welcome.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8436894 - Highest offer of about 1.4 buds (bud + black bill's + key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8930111 - Offered 1.6 buds, retracted. Owner did not express interest in the offer (or acknowledge it.) Trade is on autobump, so he is likely away.
OFFERED ON:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9061329 - Owner offered on a S. F. Sniper, S. F. Grenade, Tosslecap, and Gen. Brutal Bouffant (about 38.5 keys together) if the seller added about 8 keys (comes out to 46.5 keys, about 1.7 buds and was rejected)
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6996369 - Flies Tower (1.9 in unusuals) Match histories of http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6923117 and the Tyro trade
Verdict: Offers on the hat range from 1.4-1.6 buds. We'll take 1.6 buds as the highest offer. An owner wanted around 1.7 buds in items and was rejected. The only sale I could find was an unusual swap that came to 1.9 buds, so if we expand the ranges, it goes to about 1.5-2 buds. 1.7 buds is the middle of that range.