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http://backpack.tf/vote/id/513f8f5f4bd7b8d67c000006
Noticed this submission wasn't actually too far from reality despite having no real proof. Counter-submitting for a narrower, more accurate range.
Unsold @ 2 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9060677 (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9226892 (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9181796 (2 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9179502 (3 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9150147 (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9230566 (20 hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9219920 (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9185192 (2 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8748277 (3 weeks, doesn't look bumped too often)
Unsold for < 2 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9232499 @ 1.77 (19 hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9041295 @ backpack.tf prices (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9235798 @ >= 1.66 (16 hours)
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8464936 @ 1.77 (3 weeks ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9007926 @ 1.77 (4 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8265674 @ 1.66 (3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9034429 @ 1.66 (6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9067329 @ 1.66 (6 days ago, same person as above link)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9158142 @ 1.66, then 1.88, then retracted (3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8730266 @ 2 ref (1 week ago)
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8712089 @ 1.33 (2 days ago)
Other:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8698586 : selling for 1 key with 1 add (1 week ago)
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8846527 - @ 1.33 with many adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9011305 - @ 1 ref with an add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8864417 - @ 1.44 with adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8745284 - "1,22 ref and sniper killed is urs"
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8873259 - "1 ref for sniper?"
Still new:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9245744 : selling @ 1.77
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/Snipers
Many unsold @ 1.66 and 2 ref
In short: 1.66 is tough to sell at, 2 ref is nigh impossible, while 1.33 seems like a good low-end.
You do have a good compilation of links, but the only evidence usable is the sold links for the most part, along with some of the classified trades under 2 refined. But there are always going to be unsold items when people are trying to get top price or more for them and lowball buyers who are trying to get a deal.
Mostly this evidence suggests that people aren't buying them. Unless there is more evidence that people have been buying them for under 1.77 refined as a majority, it isn't a very good case.
What are you talking about? Most of the transactions taking place are below 1.77. Did you miss the buyers and sold sections of links I posted? A enormous majority of sellers are unsuccessful @ > 1.66. If it's not selling @ 1.77 - 2 ref, then it shouldn't be part of the range.
But people still offer 1.66-2ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8464936 @ 1.77 (3 weeks ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9007926 @ 1.77 (4 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8265674 @ 1.66 (3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9034429 @ 1.66 (6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9067329 @ 1.66 (6 days ago, same person as above link)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9158142 @ 1.66, then 1.88, then retracted (3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8730266 @ 2 ref (1 week ago)
Yes, those are all my links. 2 offers at 1.77, and only 1 at 2 ref. The amount of people offering above 1.66 is extremely small compared to those at 1.33-1.66. Notice all the failed 2 ref sellers?
well idk, maybe those that have sold at 2 ref just hid their post so we cant find them. neutral i guess
Maybe? I couldn't find ANY sellers who wanted 2 ref and got an add for it. NONE. That's a clear indication that 2 ref shouldn't be in the range.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/Snipers
This link was a huge indicator that this price needed to drop.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9238625 Buyer for 1 key for 2 sniper parts, thats 2 ref each
Solid counter proof. You should add this in the other suggestion as well since it changed my opinion of the matter.
Thanks for the link. I still feel that 2 ref is very uncommon and shouldn't be in the range. Multiple links would change my mind.