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Proof Below:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9258024 - 3 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9246423 - has had a C/O of 2 keys for 9 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9256324 - Sold for 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9259007 - Selling for 2.5 keys
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9234584 - Sold for 2 keys
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9234468 - Sold for 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9259065 - Is selling for 3 keys
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Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9258079 - Offering a 2 key item
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9253386 - Already bought for 2 keys
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9235635 - Bought for 2 keys (8 refs)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9238926 - Was added for 3 key purchase
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Most people are not selling it for over 3 keys and if you look on backpack.tfs classifieds people are only selling it for 3 keys.
I'm sorry if there are not enough links but the item is new and not that many people own it yet.
When you use the paint set most often you will not receive a paint that is worth as much as An Extraordinary Abundance of Tinge or A Distinctive Lack of Hue for example this man only got 3 (about) 1 ref paints
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjDFLgxnaMU
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good proof also to all of you wondering:
THE PAINT CANS THIS TOOLS DROPS ARE ONLY THE PAINT CANS OBTAINABLE TROUGH THE ITEM DROP SYSTEM (not white , not black. etc) http://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Mann_Co._Painting_Set
sorry for caps
Oh I was not aware of this lol
very misleading due to the black paint being in the emblem lol
If you don't know the drop percentage of it yet, don't put a price on it.
if its above or close to 20% i believe it will affect all paint prices.
INCLUDING this item.
I find it very likely that it will be a 16% or a 17% drop chance like most paints in past crates.
It might be interesting to note that the Painting Set itself replaces all of the Strange Parts that would be in the crate. Assuming the unbox rates for weapons and hats are the same, that would put the chances of this item being uncrated at about 30%. It's probably a bit lower than that, however, considering how an item that can generate a good profit off of using it wouldn't drop as much (to get people to open more crates).
Too early.