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Did a bit of research on these items now that the early adopter prices have settled a bit. Here are my findings.
Buyers are offering 1 Key for it, sellers are trying to sell for 1 Key up to 1 Key + 2 Ref.
Let's do a range from 1 Key to 1 Key + 1 Ref then. It seems to be a good median.
Firm prices (Sellers willing to trade for)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9271010 - 1 Key 2 Ref (unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9275407 - 1 Key 2 Ref (unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9267264 - 1 Key 2 Ref (unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9270178 - 1 Key 1 Ref (unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9264753 - 1 Key (unsold)
Offers (Buyers willing to buy for)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9255549 - 1 Key (not taken yet)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9267395 - 1 Key (not taken yet)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9256995 - 1 Key (not taken yet)
This is a down vote. The 1.5 keys are selling rather quickly.
Thanks for the comment. Can you provide proof on sales for 1.5 Keys? I can't seem to find any.
Some of your own links are now sold. Just one actually. But I'm sure by the time this trade is closed or accepted 1.5 will be high. So I'm going back to neutral. :)
1 key 2 ref is 1.5 (just incase you didn't know).
Yeah I'd re-up the trade with a new range.
I will increase the range to 1.5 Keys if somebody provides realiable indications of sales for 1.5 Keys (not counting the early buyers right after the crate started dropping as they pay overheated prices). Feel free to add proof for 1.5 Key sales. I'd love to adjust the range if necessary.
go for 1~1.5 or 1.25 flat
This price range is perfectly fine. Thanks for contributing Mr. Void.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9267264 - 1.5 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9276496 - 1.5, 1 sold 2 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9283108 - 5.33, 1 sold 1 unsold
I would think demand can only drop from here on forward...