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Bringing it back to the price it was previously, there is hardly anyone selling these within the current price range. As you can see, people are willing to pay up to 2 keys, and most people are buying for above the current price, so this price is more than fair. 1.25 keys = ~5 ref 1.5 keys = ~6 ref
Selling in current price range
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9063443 1 key 2 rec (~4.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9320343 1 key 1 rec (~4.44)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9324227 4.66 ref
Selling for over 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9318221 1 key + 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9239697 1 key 2 ref (~6.11 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9236448 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9212324 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5061227 5 keys (lol)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9268322 4.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8979948 1 key 1 ref (~5.11 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9284926 1.5 keys (6 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9336454 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8669984 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8950209 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9298192 2 keys
The list goes ON and ON. There are many more like this, I don’t have enough time to post them all.
Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8398779 A kringle collection (1.75-2 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5297121 Multiple 2 key offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9292369 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9062224 2 keys 1 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8950209 7 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9122426 5 ref
Buying (lowballs/quickbuys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9173272 3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8373508 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9077515 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7335778 3.33
So many quickbuyers I don’t feel like posting them
Buying
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9342557 Black villians veil and a craft hat ~5.33 without paint
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9333202 2 keys
Last link still thinks keys are 3 ref. Very outdated.
Ah, didn't notice that. I will remove it
Third to last link is false, hes offering those two items for an Anger AND the tooth kickers.
Some of your quickbuyers are successful, meaning trades are happening for 3-4 ref. Where as most of your sellers links are unsuccessful.
I'm fairly certain it was for either an anger or the toothkickers
His desc says "Only 2:2"
How many of the ones that are more than 4.66 sold? None?
Also, to all of your selling links, they're only effective proof if the trade has happened. I can create a trade selling them for 10 keys, that doesn't mean my trade should be used as proof. It'd be helpful if you trimmed out the sellers who have no luck with their higher prices.
Counter.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/tooth
7 there in current price range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9289822 (4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9308661 (4 ref)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9240713 (4 ref)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9239850 (4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9065215 (4 ref/1 Key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9097382 (4 ref/1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9319419 (4 ref/ 1 key)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9242893 (4 ref/1key)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9240889 (4 ref/1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9124371 (4.33)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9241976 (4.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9338448 (4.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9341416 (4.66)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9243571 (4.66)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9243819 (4.55 + .55 for paint)