Selling:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9388168 (1 ref)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9277470 (1.33) Unsold at 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9369407 (1.33)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9395674 (1.22)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9270442 (1.44)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9393092 (1.44)

www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9366547 (1.33) Unsold at 1.66

Unsold:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9377414 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9256016 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9351129 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9360145 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9376094 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9287089 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9369699 (1.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9350247 (Rejected 1.45)

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/jarate

2 at 1.66, 1 for 1 day, 1 for 3 days.

I'm choosing a flat 1.33, since that seems to be the number people are selling at (if you average the 1.22s and 1.44s as well), and since there are so many unsold at 1.66. If this is not enough proof, tell me.

The name of the game is 'Just how fast can an item's price possibly drop?' and the winner is either Jarate or the Fire axe.