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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9013228 - Added the guy for 1 bud (he sold to someone else though)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9029214 - Highest offer of 25 keys (not accepted)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8521185 - B/O of 1.2 pure (~33 keys) (turned down 1 bud offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8256221 - Offer of 1 bud + sweets (most recent offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9139873 - I bought one for N&B OMA + Juju + shades (15 + 9 + 6 = ~30 keys)
It isn't a lot of proof, but this price needs an update. Relisted with a lower top end price.
Yeah, if somebody has a buyout four keys under the high range I don't see why this shouldn't go down. Your proof is pretty solid too.