Suggestion: Treasure Hat at 12–14 keys

Price Suggestion

Treasure Hat

Submitted Fri, 22 Mar 13 06:01:53 +0000 by ★ Mojo

76.02%

13–15 keys

12–14 keys

~3.6 keys

130 votes up

41 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 23 Mar 13 03:50:29 +0000 by SirJjjon.

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Comments

Sellers (unsold):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9446561 - Offer of 52 ref (~12.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9429543 - 14 keys, unsold, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9273017 - 14 keys unsold, 1 week (14 key offer, presumably purchasing is 2 day time)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9448993 - 15 keys, unsold, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9338111 - Crate 40 + wrap, looks like a troll

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9438064 - 14 keys unsold (someone may buy it it the seller "has sime" in a few days), 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9144659 - 14 keys, had a few 14 keys offers but looks unsold, 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9377006 - 12 keys, unbumped and unsold, 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8146664 - 14 keys, assorted 11-13 key offers, unsold, 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9463463 - 14 keys, 7 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9459278 - 14 keys, 10 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9283097 - 16 keys, 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9445255 - 15 keys, 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9375830 - 14 keys, declined 12 key offer, 4 day (I paid 12)

Buyers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9354176 - 11 keys for prewrapped, 2x offer of 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9109827 - 11 keys, declined offer of 12 keys (one of the same people from above)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9217741 - Looking for offers, offer of 12 keys, declines, owner reports he sold for 13

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/Treasure%20Hat - 14 keys has been up for several days, mine was up for 14 for several days and no bites. Dropped to 13.5, nothing as of yet.

Overall, not many sales. It still seems possible to sell for 14 keys, however difficult. Found no sales under 12 keys.

Track some item history and see what the current owners bought em for. It takes a bit but its the most conclusive proof you can ask for.

The 12s seem to be outliers, perhaps misunderstanding where wrap comes into the range. 14+ ones are still in the current range, downvote.

None have sold for more than 15.

Then decreasing the upper end of the price range was fine, just not the lower.

People have offer to sell for 12, and some have sold for 13 with their own wrap. That's why 12 is in the range, because it is possible to buy and sell at that price.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8528335 (sold 13 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9076459 (halloween spell spectrum painted bills + sweets ~ 14 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8327756 (14 keys prewrapped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8750714 (13 keys)

and no proof of successful sales at 12 keys. Downvoted

There were several offers of 12 keys to buyers, showing that people are wiling to sell for 12, and it is also taken into account that 13 key sales have been prewrapped.

It seems to me they just wanted quick keys, and the several offers were the same 2 traders in all the trades.

"SatricalSissel" Offered to sell for 12 keys in all those trades you listed (rejected), and sold off for 13 keys stated in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9217741

Yes I know, I noted that in the original post. And again, I included 12 in the range to account for gift wrap.

tf2outpost is some what unreliable....

you should look through at alot of trades of people buying and selling....

than you can see that most people lowball and others also overprice things because they want to make a profit of what they are selling.