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My very first unusual suggestion, I happened to own this hat about a month ago. Price is terribly inaccurate and I'm surprised nobody bothered making a suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7106836 Sold for 100$ + 23 keys + 2 white paint ~ roughly 4 buds
My trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7772447 Sold for 4 buds pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9071443 Sold for Burning Flames Bonk Helm valued ~4.6
link 1 sold for 3.9 buds, more proof of 4.6 buds?
Actually its still 4 buds, you can get 3 buds for 100$ and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8495932 if you check pigeon's offer it was around 5 buds.
fair enough
Good proof UP+
Burning bonk is more around 4.3 pure, but yea the old price is outdated.
The suggested range should probably be 3.7-4.3 but considering the current price... I wont bother over .3