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Definitely not 0.66ref flat, and probably not 1ref flat.
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9455216 unsold at 1ref for 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9275567 unsold at 1ref for 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9431236 two offers of 0.77ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9492052 offer of s.frontier justice(1.33ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9191982 offer of 1ref, willing buyer at 1.22ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9026455 offer of 0.77ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8823829 offer of 3ref for f.sandvich(1.33ref) and f.ax
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9163225 willing buyer at 0.88ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9233022 willing buyer at 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7564686 accepted offer of f.banner(0.66-1ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8812668 offer of f.mackeral(1ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7490615 offer of f.huntsman(1.66-2ref)
Newish trades to watch
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9529797 0.66ref, they just went offline
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9526204 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9535496 0.88ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9520889 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9520263 f.banner
Quicksell-buyers
Almost everyone will pay 0.66ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9354773 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9530921 0.88ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9496782 0.77ref
I own 17, I really need the 1.88ref increase in bp value.
I derped my math, it's a 2.83ref increase in bp value, even better for me.
GUISE HE'S TRYING TO GAME THE SYSTEM
i am no quicksell buyer ,(2nd) never sold any festive. That could change around next X-mas and upvote.
I just label anyone trying to buy multiples as a "quicksell-buyer", never noticed you were only buying one. Sorry about that.
nevermind. Actually i don`t care but generally somebody paying ~33% over the current price shouln`t be a QB/QS
Good things about this suggestion:
-Lots of proof
-Reasonable range
-Mostly accurate
Bad things about this suggestion:
-Uses quicksell-buyers as proof. (just why would you ever do this)
-Uses trades where the offers are other items but hasn't discounted the price accordingly. (Minor)
-Does not mention that some of the offers used as evidence have been retracted.
- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9233022 this offerer was actually buying all 4 festives for 1 ref, not 1:1
Overall, I'd say that your proof of sellers is somewhat iffy. While it's true that people are declining offers of 1 ref, and others have been asking for 1 ref, you've also got some inaccurate examples which don't accurately reflect the value. Also, you've listed quicksell-buyers. I just don't even understand why you would do that.
I'll upvote this because it's clear the value is going up, but I'd recommend reviewing your proof.