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~29 keys
o.fire
Unusual Troublemaker's Tossle Cap Orbiting Fire
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Old price; currently many of these for trade on outpost. Seems like a good time for a repricing.


Link #1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8632482 (1 month)


B/O: 3 buds pure or 4 buds worth of unusuals

Offers:

3 buds (retracted, bought hat for 3 buds in link #2)

2 buds + 2 Bill's Hat

Many unusual offers less than 2.5 buds

"I might be able to do 3 buds soon" offer


Link #2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6583205 (done)


Sold for 3 buds (buyer relisted in link #3)


Link #3 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9407383 (5 days)


Offers:

2.2 buds

Circling Heart Milkman (3.4-4.1 buds) = ~3.3 buds


Link #4 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9014612 (3 weeks) NOTE: it's gifted!


Offers:

Max's Severed Head + sweets

2 buds

"Might be able to do 2.5buds when I get them" offer


Link #5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9472128 (2 days)


B/O: "2buds 22keys", owner says he's quickselling

Offers:

Circling Hearts Sober Stuntman (1.9-2.5) = ~2 buds

"Glitched Max Head"


Link #6 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7789535 (2 months) NOTE: selling as set w/bonk boy


Offers (only for the tossle):

Holiday Headcase (3-3.3 buds) 3 weeks ago


Link #7 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8886894 (3 weeks) NOTE: same seller as link #1


B/O: 3.5 buds

Offers:

Steaming Anger (2.1-2.5 buds) = ~2.1 buds


Link #8 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9306492 (1 week)


B/O: 3 buds

Offers:

3 Salvaged Crate #50 = ~1.5 buds


Link #9 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8891065 (sold)


Sold within a week for 2 buds + 6 keys (buyer relisted in link #8)


Link #10 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6768790 (3 months)


B/O: 4 buds

Offers:

1 bud, 45 keys, and ~5 keys in sweets = ~2.7 buds

2 buds + 2 Bill's Hats = ~2.5 buds


Link #11 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9132854 (2 weeks)


B/O: 3 buds

Offers:

2 buds

Smoking Le Party Phantom (2-2.3 buds) + Craft #12 mutton mann


Link #12 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9203199 (3 weeks)


B/O: 3 buds

Offers:

Stormy Storm Fed-Fightin' Fedora (1.7-2.4 buds OLD PRICE)


Link #13 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8492916 (1 month)


Link #14 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9475237 (3 days)


B/O: "Quickselling" for 2 buds + 2 Bill's Hat

Has someone interested in paying b/o (same person paying buyout in links 1 and 4)


Link #15 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9083968 (2 weeks) NOTE: only selling for cash


B/O: $75

Offers:

Offer to pay buyout, then offered $80 instead.

Another offer to pay buyout.


Analysis:

Boy, there's a lot of links. Many offers get repeated in the trades, so I don't list the same offer in multiple links. Also, I did not list a few that were selling only as part of a set.

Firstly, I'll talk about the high end. 3 buds seem doable here. One sold for 3 buds in link #2. There's a Milkman offer in link #3 above 3 buds. There's even someone offering a Holiday Headcase, but the offer is a little old. However, there's also people having buyouts at 3 buds who haven't got their buyouts met. 3 buds seems fine for the high.

Now for the low end. 2 buds + 2 Bill's Hat is an offer that gets thrown out a lot and either rejected (links 1 and 10) or put as a quicksell buyout (link 14), so that seems good for the low.

    Very good proof upvoted

    good proof UP+

      looks good, up