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5 months since the last price check, so it's time for an update.
Link #1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8854420 (1 month)
Offers:
Blizzardy Storm Safe 'n Sound (25-32 keys) = ~26 keys
Strange Festive Bat (30-34 keys)
1.5 buds (twice)
Link #2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3682861 (4 months)
Offers:
50 keys (maybe? see anaylsis below)
Bubbling Connoiseur Cap (24-27 keys) = ~23 keys
Link #3 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3595680 (7 months)
Offers:
Blizzardy Storm Swagman's Swatter (1.4-1.6 buds) = ~1.4 buds
Link #4 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9520586 (3 days)
Offers:
Strange Festive Bat (30-34 keys)
Link #5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8658363 (1 month)
Many repeat offers from above links.
Link #6 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9308170 (1 week)
B/O: 2 buds
Stormy Storm Medic's Mountain Cap (1-1.4 buds) = ~1.1 buds
Blizzardy Storm Mirror (22-27 keys) + 16 keys = 38 keys
Link #7 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8666645 (1 month)
Offers:
Searing Plasma Pith Helm (26-34 keys) = ~27 keys
Flies Backbiter Billycock (26-33 keys) = ~27 keys
1 bud + White Bill's Hat = ~1.4 buds
Link #8 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9495154 (3 days)
Offers:
Steaming Milkman (1.2-1.4 buds OLD PRICE) ~1.2 buds
35 keys
Link #9 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9156888
Sold for 1.6 buds.
Link #10 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9271939
Sold for Stormy Storm Jumper's Jeepcap (1.2-1.5 buds) = ~1.2 buds
Analysis:
Some of these trades are ancient. People are willing to let their trades be active for months at a time, accruing all sorts of offers in the meantime (mostly a ton of lowballs). I've stuck to the most recent offers and tried not to put repeat offers in multiple trades.
All but link #4 have offers at 1.2 buds, plus it sold for that amount in link #10, hence the low point being there. There was a 50 key offerer who seemed really unsure of himself and likely retracted it, so I'm tossing that out. Setting the high at 1.6 buds since it sold for that in link #9 and some of the offers in the active trades are approaching that number.
Good Price Suggestion and nice proof. UP+