So yeah, I saw the update yesterday, wayyyyyy off.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9074219 had an offer of 19 to 20 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8438762 offer of smoking bonk if he adds 3 keys (20 keys with overpay), BO of 1 bud [QUESTIONABLE IF A REAL OFFER]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/2365410 may be an old link, but considering that the price of '14 to 17 keys' was from 8 months ago, too, this is valid given that. (top offer being black bills + summer shades [prewraped] + laugh taunt + strange knife, and with keys being about 2.55 at that time, adds up to about 18 keys)

There haven't been any trades in the history of my hat with SALES that go under 16 keys.

Reposting for the third time for an accurate price range