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4 month old price.
THE BURNING PENCIL PUSHER:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9465813
(The ONLY trade on outpost currently)
-B/O: 5.5 buds
Notable offers:
-Steaming Bonk Boy + Smoking Bonk Boy (only if seller adds a bit, 2.3 buds and 2.4 buds respectively with overpay involved, a total of 4.7 buds of unusual offers)
-3 buds + TF Logo Texas Ten Gallon (1.2 buds with overpay, a total of 4.2 buds)
-Cauldron Bubbles Milkman (3.9 buds with overpay)
Other offers are very low (like 2 secret diaries, Flies Reggaelator, Sunbeams Pusher)
AVERAGE OFFER: 4.3 buds
The previous owner also sold this 1 week ago: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9113285
(Check the last hidden comment; you will see his offer of 1:1 with Hearts Birdcage)
-Hearts Birdcage (2.1 buds with overpay) WHAT A STEAL!!!
He has made several trades regarding this hat, as shown here:
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8475083
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9147100
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9236276
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9236459 (most recent)
On #1:
-Purple Energy Cheiftan’s (3.3 buds with overpay)
-Sunbeams Engineer’s Cap + 2 buds (2.1 buds with overpay, a total of 4.1 buds)
On #2:
-V. Gentlemann’s Service Medal (only for set. judging from the person’s B/O, and the 15 bud price of the medal, it would have been a whopping 6 bud offer. Considering overpay, it would have reached 5 buds.)
-Harvest Moon Bombing Run (3.1 buds with overpay)
-Burning Western Wear (3.6 buds with overpay, but from alt account)
On #3: No offers, downgrading to a P. Energy Safe N’ Sound (2.4-2.9 buds) or Hotrod (2.3-2.6 buds)
On #4: No real offers
-3 buds + 10 keys
The previous previous owner sold this 1 month ago: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8321893
-Had an offer of 4 pure, apparently taken.
CONCLUSIONS: This hat can doesn’t get many “high” offers, but it is able to sell for at least 4 pure. The recent swap between a Hearts Birdcage is counted as an outlier. The recent trade posted gets decent unusual offers, the highest being the double Bonk Boys. I guess that would also be considered a semi-outlier, since the seller was all too eager to get this offer, and then added a crap-ton of sweets for them. (Was going to add Sinister Staining Procedure Mask, Sinister Staining Vintage Tyrolean, and G. Shred Alert, possibly 13.66 refined, Buildings Destroyed, Lv. 69 and Lv. 99 Bonk Boys.) If we were to assume he was going to pay all of this, it would come close to 52 refined, about 12 keys and about 0.45 buds. His hat is then valued at around 4 buds considering this very high overpay, and the offer would be around 4.3 buds.
My proposed low end: 4 buds based on the most recent (real) sale.
My proposed high end: 4.3 buds based on the average of the offers on the most recent trade, and assumptions from the earlier trades.
"Me still interested in your opinion"
-ERASER [BY]
"Me still ..." - ha-ha nice .
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8475083 sold -->http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9113285 Circling Heart Birdcage~2.3- old price -I think it costs more .
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9465813 -offer 2 x~ 4.2 buds pure ~ upper price range , I agree
Good job UP+