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Feel this needs a slight adjustment, mainly the higher end.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9703437 - Sold for 18 (Yes that's me)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9568082 - 21 key buyout
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9807574 - 23 key buyout
Offers: N+B Milkman if seller adds keys
What's in the portal 2 soundtrack box (I assume) 1 month ago (when it was worth 16-18 keys)
15 keys + v. pickel worth 1-1.5 keys - 1 month ago
75 ref (1 month ago) which at 4 ref would have been worth 18.75 keys
There are a few trades with a buyout of 1 bud but no offers even close to that. Admittedly some of these offers are outdated and may not follow up with a 'yes' if chased but they are the only offers shown. I feel the 21 key and 23 buyouts show that the price should be lowered to around that area. I also feel the lower end should be raised slightly as it was quite an easy sell at 18, maybe even higher but that's the only documented proof.
Comments welcome.