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Just a small price bump, 3 month old current. There's been some increased interest in this hat, I'm seeing offers of a bud and a few keys pure, and some nice unusual offers at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9546328 . One person offered a blizz L'Inspecteur (a little under a bud with overpay) and up to 8 keys in sweets (6 keys and 8.33 ref), while another offered an O. Fire Baker Boy 1:1, easily sold for a bud and a bill's. At http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7122143 , there were some nice offers, including a smoking Whoopee and TS Bill's (1.3 buds total), and 34 keys pure (My basis for the high value.) Based on these offers, I feel like the range needs to be raised a bit.
You might have had a mistake copying and pasting links since the two proof you provided were of the same trade. Show us a link with that 34 keys offer. c:
Oh, I'm sorry. I did make a copying and pasting mistake! :P Is should be right now.
I had one a while ago, this was about the price it was going for. I would personally of made it 1.1-1.3.
Well, the 34 key offer on the second trade was why I decided 1.4 would be more appropriate.
That 34 key offer is somewhat old. One sold for 1.2 buds 3 weeks back @ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9213215
You might want to provide more proof of the higher bound since there are several of these on the market. c:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9759120 - seems to have been sold for bud + 8 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9781984
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9563078 - sold for 1.1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9137638 - sold for bud + 7 keys (supposedly)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8794106 - sold for bud + 2 keys + maybe sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9754231 - offer of s.f.bat (30-34 keys), not sure what it sold for (item histories don't match up...)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9609079 - sold for o.fire toque (1.1-1.3) + 8 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9579419 - BO was 1.1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9439731 - BO was bud + 9, unknown sale price
Some past trades, take what you will from it...
Thanks for the links, seems to be pretty much supportive of my range... Definitely some on the low end, but some higher as well.