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Sellers
Unsold 15 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9836895
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9839281 (agrees to sell at 15 key see comments)
Unsold 16 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9777139 (2 bills) for 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9839281 (agrees to sell at 15 key)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/737/11/0 1 unsold at 15 keys & 3 unsold at 16 keys
Buyers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9474660 Bought for 12 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9458697 Bought for 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9832182 Offered 15 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9502885 Offered 14 and 15 keys
Last two buyer links have offers of 14 keys, the last one specifically has two 14 key offers.
The first Unsold 15 key link has an offer of White/Black Bill's + 2 BP Expanders (so 9.5 + 5.5 = 15).
If you could find a bit more unsold PDAs at 16 keys, I'd be more confident in upvoting this.
first in buyers is unlikely a buy - looks like someone who got confused which direction the trade was going in their excitement ;)