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These seem to sell at a higher price now than 5 months ago. Semi-conservative bump to better reflect the range.
Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9938515
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8318744
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9939497
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9933123
Sellers=/=sold. You will need to provide proof of it selling for 2 if you want this to pass.
Only link 2 had people saying "added" but that was 3 days ago, so it hasn't sold. That leaves the other 3 and none have sold. Here is one for 1.66 ref:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/782/6/0
1st link is ok proof
2nd sold but is old
3rd and 4th are too new
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6671357
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9209011 Old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9950027
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9949186
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9945315 New, to watch
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9896335
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9928782
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9919643
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9864639 Unsold for 1.66, underbumped
I'll leave this open for half a day--if 2 ref is as easy as you claim then some of those trades should sell.
The new one in question sold for 2 ref. A number of the 1.66's haven't sold yet, one asks for keys (presumably with another item, but still puts it far above 2 ref(unsold)), and a couple others are offers with no listed offers.
#3 in my earlier proof has also sold for 2.
All unsold, proving 2 ref shouldn't be in the range. Downvote.
All those links are of unsolds for 2 ref, meaning they actually go against your proposed price.
You must find proof of trades happening between 1.66-2, not just b/o's, but offers or willing sellers on buying threads.
Yeah it's likely that 2 ref is a fair range as these trades haven't been up for long. You should watch them and see if they do end up selling for 2 ref.
Good idea but, better proof
From what I can see, these are a fairly easy sell at 1.66, and 2 ref IS very possible with some patience.
In the future it is better to provide as much proof as possible--4 trades rarely represent the entire market, and seller and buyers decide prices together (admittedly in this case, all buyers on outpost are quickbuyers). Providing proof yourself will save the mods and other users time and help your suggestion be accepted faster.
I look forward to future suggestions from you :)