"What a large range you have grandma!"

PLEASE HELP ME ON THIS

HARVEST MOON RUBBER GLOVE

...honestly, I'm surprised with this.

Only one trade up on outpost:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5835625

-5 months old

-No B/O

-Knows there are only 2

Offered:

-Sunbeams Brigade Helm if seller adds (5.3 buds alone, current offer)

-Burning Ze Goggles (4.9 buds, unknown, current offer)

-4 buds (5 months ago, beaten)

-Cloudy Moon Dixie (3.6 buds, 5 months ago)

-5 buds (5 months ago, retracted)

-Ghosts Milkman (3.5 buds, 5 months ago)

-Eerie Fire Birdcage (2.4 buds) + Cauldron Bubbles Buckaroos (1.1 buds) = 3.5 buds (5 months ago)

-Misty Skull Spartan (5.8 buds) if seller adds 3 buds, pretty much a 3 bud offer (4 months ago)

-Lantern Batters (2.1) + NB Snaggletooth (0.7) + NB Panama (0.6) + V. Hotrod Lv. 100 (2 keys?) = 3.5

-Cauldron Bubbles Tree (3.2 buds, 4 months ago)

-5 buds (rejected? 4 months ago)

-Misty Skull Festivizer (3.7 buds) + 1 bud = 4.7 buds (4 months ago)

-Burning Mongolian (2.1 buds) + Searing Hot Dogger (1.5 buds) = 3.6 buds (4 months ago)

-5 buds +10 keys = 5.4 buds (3 months ago)

-Cloudy Moon Glove (4 buds) + Orb. Fire Brigade Helm (1.3 buds) = 5.3 buds (3 months ago)

-Harvest Moon Brain Bucket (4.4 buds, 2 months ago)

-#2 Hazmat + #2 Cremator’s Conscience = both gifted, but still valuable

-Eerie Fire Dragonborn Helm (3.8 buds)

-6 buds (top current offer)

-Knifestorm Dixie (???)

-13th Trophy Belt (3.5 buds) + 10 keys + 12 key sweets = 4.4 buds

-6 buds + 10 keys = 6.4 buds (owner has not responded)

Past owner’s trade:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5816075

-5 months old

-B/O: 4 buds

SOLD FOR: 3 buds + BMOC (price was 20 keys 5 months ago) = 3.8 buds

Offered:

-Eerie Fire Batter’s Helm (2 buds) + sweets (???)

-P. Energy Dead Cone (low, 1.8 buds)

-Blizzard Drill Hat (low, 1.7 buds)

-3 buds + 14 keys = 3.5 buds

CONCLUSIONS: Although the last one sold for under 4 buds, recent offers beg to differ. This hat easily gets over 4 buds, going to 6.4 pure currently. I still don't know the exact range for this, so PLEASE help me.

Basing low end off of not-so-recent sale of (barely) 4 buds

Basing high end off of recent pure offer the seller still didn't take