The only trade on outpost has gotten better offers as of late; the price decrease just a week ago may not be fair. Proof, all of which is here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9555852

Most recently, we have a Scorching Robin (my offer, I've been wanting a logo all-class). It's about 2.9 buds average by backpack.tf, but I've received a 3 bud and 4 key offer. We also have a Holiday Headcase offered, valued at 3 buds. Another offer seems to show that a user might be interested in buying it for 3 pure, but he does not have much value in his backpack, so we should just consider that a side-note for now.

Another offer a few days ago is willing to pay a nuts tree, white bill's, and 3 crate 40s. This adds up to about

Slightly earlier, but after the last decrease on this hat, we've got another offer inquiring whether the owner would take 3 pure. With 2 3 pure offers in unusuals/items, and 3 pure considering...

I'm thinking around 3 buds seems good for this hat. Note your reason for downvoting, if you do downvote; it doesn't help anything to have no other proof on your side and no fact for me to possibly disprove.

I've set my range to 2.8-3 accounting for a bit of overpay, possibly,( although I can get 3 pure and 4 keys on my offer if I want, which I am more than willing to trade for the hat also...).

Please don't comment saying I'm trying to raise the value of my backpack if/when I get this hat, because the likelihood is that my offer will be rejected anyway.