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I think this smoker should be more than 20 keys
"i think". How about... no
I think the Earth is flat...
But this doesn't mean that is true...
Opinions are not proof.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/7-how-to-create-a-good-unusual-price-suggestion/
There is one person selling for 18.5 on classifieds
generic "i think it should be this much" guy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9468941 buyout 18 keys, been up for 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9946273 buyout 21 keys, been up for 20 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9913576 buyout 21 keys, been up for 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9964117 here's OPs trade, no offers on it, only ~40minutes old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9894466 2 days, no offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9955996 7 hours, "level 42 collectors item", no offers
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/399/5/35 18.5 keys right now
You have no proof, and you have no reason for a price change.... downvote