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Needs adjusting.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9733272 - Sold for 24 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9911394 - Sold for one bud (25-26 keys as of today)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9972316 - Buyout of 30 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9913416 - Buyout of 1.2 buds or 32 keys
Best offers on all of the above trades that are open right now in no particular order:
27 keys (1 month ago)
30 and then 32 keys for festivizer (same person 1 month ago)
Smoking flamboyant flamenco (1.5-1.9 on bp.tf - an overpay - however, can't check if it was duped or not)
Bud (25-26 as of today but was 27 when offer was made 3 weeks ago) x 2
1 bud and 3 keys
Based on the sold hats, buyouts and relevant offers, I've come to the low value of 26 and the high value of 30.
Comments welcome.