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Don't have any proof to support my range but i have some proof to show that this should go down it price....
Unsold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9760804[/url] 1week 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9558828[/url] 2weeks 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9992528[/url] less than an hour 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9984373[/url] 9 hours 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9892782[/url] 4 days 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9401486[/url] 3weeks no offers
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8721230[/url] a month 1key has an add,not sure if sold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9001998[/url] a month 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9770346[/url] 5days no offers
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9961596[/url] a day 1 key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9902909[/url] 3days no offer
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9895513[/url] 4days 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9834406[/url] 6days 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9808356[/url] a week 2 keys
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9964642[/url] a day 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9984846[/url] 9hours 2keys
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9299977[/url] 3weeks 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9982486[/url] 11hours no offer
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9982486[/url] 4days 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9892229[/url] 4days 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9566313[/url] 1day 1key
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9894115[/url] 4days 2key
Buyers
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9632943[/url] currently not buying unless very low price
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9671369[/url] buying for 1.11ref
Not many buyers and many unsold 1 keys
There's plenty of people with different items that are unsold at the suggested price. But that doesn't mean the price should go down. There could have been 20 other people today that managed to sell them for a key, or perhaps 5 that sold for 4 refined. At the end of the day you have to put in the work and find appropriate successful sales that support your range.
Considering that quite of few of those that he listed are unsold for weeks or even months, I find it hard to believe that several sold for a key in the last few days.
I'm talking generally. You have no links listed of people that have successfully bought or sold.
everything that is less than 2 days old is meaningless
everything that is asking for more than the current price is meaningless
that leaves us with:
Unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9760804 1week 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9558828 2weeks 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9892782 4 days 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9401486 3weeks no offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8721230 a month 1key has an add,not sure if sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9001998 a month 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/97703465days no offers -- was offered a keyhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9902909 3days no offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9895513 4days 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9834406 6days 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9299977 3weeks 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/99824864days 1key -- Not 4 days, only 1 dayhttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9892229 4days 1key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/95663131day 1key -- What? He's asking for Dota items, not 1 keystill looks like it is overpriced here, just unsure of what is more accurate
BEST RECOMMENDATION
You need proof of successful sales at 4 ref, we can't just price stuff blindly.
And also: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9770346 - A guy offered 1 key, but bought another one
look what i said at the start, and i dont see any guys offering 1 key
First comment
And you still need proof of 4 ref. because it could be 1.33 ref. as well.
i can't find any, can u?
well this definitely needs a price drop but im not sure what range
I can't find any, but until you find some, there isn't need of a price change, since you have no proof of the new price.
well but it deserves to drop
To what then?
You show no proof of what it should drop to.
I think he has good proof
Also, wtf is this http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51656d124bd7b8031f00000b
an inconvenient truth
Wait, this thing is 1 key?
need more proof of selling for 4ref
Not god proof downvote
God gives no proof unfortunately.
But... but... there's a hole in the fossil record! Everything you say must be invalid!
/s
I just bought one of these for a key the other day. It still seems like a good buy to me.
A small handful of these have passed through the marketplace and all of them have been for around the price of 1 key, meaning the seller is selling them for LESS than a key themselves (due to fees). As a result, that puts the price at just about, but not precisely equal to, 4-4.11 ish. Going to have to agree here, especially since there's plenty unsold at $2.53 (that's $2.20 for the buyer, just under 1 key @$2.30) and most previous sales have been under that benchmark. So the market seems to agree with this price.
no actual proof of the range, downvote
Agreed, its not really selling for a key, (It would be better to have a range though, 4-4.66 refined or something like that)