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I think since this is such a low tier hat, around this price should be good for the hat, even if it has a god tier effect, as similar halloween effects such as misty skull have a similar price.
I have no proof since 0 of them exist, but I think this is a fair price for this unusual.
no
This type of speculation should stay on tf2pricecheck.net since backpack.tf bases its sales on actual transactions when setting a price for an unusual. Higher offers on current open trades are also taken into account. I would suggest you close this due to neither of those pieces of evidence being available at this time and not being available until next Halloween.
If none of them exist, why do we need a price in the first place? It's not like anyone needs to check the price of this. So nope.
How do you price an item that doesn't exist?
If none exist, we can't price it. This looks too low anyways.