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Price update.
Offers & Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9841034
Smoking Executioner + 1 bud = 4.6 - 5.5 buds
Eerie O. Fire Milkman = 4.6 - 5.8 buds
Steaming Crone's Dome + 5 keys = 4.7 - 5.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9945709
Knifestorm Hound Dog + TS Bills = 5 - 5.9 buds
Flaming Lantern Honcho's = 4.5 - 5.7 buds
Misty Skull Lid + 4 keys = 5.4 - 5.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9609502 (1 week ago)
Blizzardy Front Runner + 3.5 buds = 5.1 - 5.5 buds
Beams Shako + O. Fire Degroot = 5.6 - 6 buds
5 buds pure
Moon Brain Bucket = 5.4 - 6 buds
Price Range
There are numerous unusual offers in the 5.4 - 5.8 bud range, so I've set the upper bound at ~5.5 accounting for overpay. The lower bound is at 5 buds because somebody offered 5 buds pure and there are plenty of higher unusual offers.
Hmm. Not sure about this:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9568146 - sold for 4 buds + 10 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9609502 - b/o 5 (i believe traded for 3 buds + blizzardy frontrunner)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9344808 - sold for 5 flat
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8458716 - b/o 5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8500490 - b/o 5 buds
Highest offer you pointed out was 5.8 in unusuals = 5.3 pure. Also a ton of b/o at 5. That shouldn't be the low end. I would say 5.3 as high end and 4.8 on the low end or something like that. Probably needs a slight bump down rather than up. I would take the current range as is.
I saw those, and they're outdated. I considered adding in the recent 4 buds + 10 keys trade, but that was more or less a quicksell. In the past two weeks, people have been offering much more.
Possibly will be the best rang 4.8-5.3 ?But offer : Cloudy Moon Brain Bucket (5.4-6)- you can calculate in pure by the lower price range ~5.4. I am more inclined to 4,8-5,3 . 5.5- here many . I am pass here.
In general- a not bad suggestion.