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Basically a reconfirm. Moving it down a few ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10003727 - B/O 20 keys, enough to clip the high.
Highest offer of Bubbling L'Inspecteur, about 17 keys with overpay, but the trade is new. Appears to have bought it for a Smoking Raincatcher (~19 keys).
Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9970768 - Note how one of the specific items the owner was looking for was a Smoking Raincatcher.
Backpack times (5 day gap, somebody please confirm): http://backpack.tf/id/76561198034963844?time=1364281200 - Raincatcher
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198034963844?time=1365663600 - Noir
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9962478 - Sold at 20 keys, one other add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9455266 - Offered 22 pure, has not been followed up on. It is unknown what it sold for. The offer was there for one week and was not taken, and is technically not an outlier, but with the double B/Os under that I think we can call that an outlier.
Sale was for an O. Fire Pencil Pusher (18 with overpay)
Before http://backpack.tf/id/76561198048188762?time=1364022000
After: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198048188762?time=1364108400
Many thanks to Esper: Electric Feels for this piece of proof!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10036994 - B/O $30 (~21 keys)
Low is 17 because of the L'Inspecteur offer (which is the highest on any trade), middle is ~18-19 because of the Raincatcher and Pusher sale, high is 20 because of the B/Os.
Comments, counterproof, supporting evidence, opinions, etc.? Post 'em below. I would greatly appreciate more documented sales.