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3 months old price. People do not offer that much anymore.
Method of calculating prices:
Taking the median and multiplying by 90%, as suggested by the Major Contributor Ezeon09 (http://backpack.tf/u/76561198071670400) on this suggestion http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5161fc9fba25367a34000010 and rounding up or down, depending on the result.
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10005654 - Buyout of 2 buds 6 keys, no takers.
Offers of:
Smoking Festive Tree (1.6-1.9 buds) By method: 1.6.
O. Fire Tyrolean (1.6-2 buds) By method: 1.6.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9814877 - Buyout of 2 buds, no takers (but there's an offer of 1 bud 24 keys).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10020033 - No offers on Stahlhelm.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9063925 - List of offers:
1 Bud + Blizz Outdoorsman (1.4-1.8, highest offer yet, by method 1.4)
Nuts and Bolts Anger (1.4-1.7 buds with a current suggestion of 1.1-1.4 buds, by method 1.4 or 1.1 buds)
1 bud + a Stormy Storm Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet (1-1.3 buds, by method 1 bud)
2 Buds Pure
Bubbling Doctor Sack (13-17 keys LOL)
Orb. Fire Berliner's (1.3-1.5 buds, by method 1.3 buds) and a crate 40.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10045162 - No offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9722764
1.8 pure buds
Smoking Kabuto (1.8-2 buds, by method 1.7 buds) and sweets.
Haunted Ghosts Gentleman's Gatsby (1.6-2 buds, by method 1.6)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10080841 - No offers
I hope this is enough. Took me some time to make it and try to be as accurate as possible.
Cheers!
Looks pretty good. Here's a link to a sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9971556
Looks like Orbiting Snaggle and Salvaged Crate #30 for the Stahlhelm + sweets.
Thanks mate! Liked your comment.
I bought it for an O. Fire Snaggle and 21 keys, yes.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9742043
Here's another. Looks like the owner of your 5th link paid ~ Lv 40 Max's head.
Backpack history 4/12 http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047579297?time=1365750000
Backpack history 4/13 http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047579297?time=1365836400
He's gonna hate me so bad for this suggestion...
Furthermore, both of the unusual offerers said that they would add sweets, but we couldn't agree on a price. I feel like the price should go down, yes, seeing as I've had no luck so far selling mine, but regardless it should not go down to such a great degree. Perhaps a range of 1.8-2.2 would be more accurate.
Ended up trading it plus a Spectrum Bill's for an O. Fire Jefe and a few keys of sweets. Upvoted, anyway, the proof is good.