Suggestion: Strange Dead Ringer at 5.66–6 ref - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~1.5 keys

75 votes up

32 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 14 Apr 13 21:12:25 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Prove new range

Classifieds: [url]http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/59/11/0[/url] ~~3 Selling for 6 ref~~ One sold for 6 ref while making suggestion

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10073068[/url] Selling for 1 key

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10085683[/url] Selling for 1 key

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10049679[/url] Selling for 1 key

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10079233[/url] Selling for 6 ref

Buyer Trades 1, 2, 3, 4

Disprove current range

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10078183[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9881712[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10038247[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10010363[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10018586[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref, offers up to 6 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10079531[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10061887[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10077885[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9974494[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10054569[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10076736[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10073457[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10049535[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10050636[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.55 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10070879[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.55 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9972559[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.55 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10033805[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.55 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10012386[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.55 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10064216[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10080513[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10021760[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10062879[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10069364[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10010406[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9073184[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9840740[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10085286[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10051853[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.33 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10068978[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.22 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10011244[/url] Unsuccessful at 6.22 ref

Buyers

1. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10060228[/url] Buying for 5.55 ref, lots in his backpack

2. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9053995[/url] Bought 4-5 for 5.66 ref in less than a week (price recently changed)

3. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10066984[/url] Few adds for 5.66 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9728813[/url] Bought for 1 key

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8581385[/url] 2 willing sellers for 1 key, 1 is recent

4. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9593921[/url] Tons of adds for 5.66 ref, likely others added without commenting

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9334205[/url] Bought some at 5 ref

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9519730[/url] Added for 1 key

New range was created based on

1. "Over-success" of buyers for 5.66 ref (Personal experience as well, the reason I lowered my price)

2. The availability of this item for 6 ref, as well as the one sold as I created this suggestion

3. The failure of those selling for anything above 6 ref

4. The decrease seems sudden, I have been selling for a while getting consistent adds, but within the past 2 days haven't received any adds (bumped trades every 30 minutes) While perhaps some trades have successful trades above 6 ref, they may be outdated (such as some on my trade). Additionally I find these slight outliers (overpriced) balance well with outliers I have found, selling for 1 key (underpriced)

Overall kind of hard for me to come up with a price range. Not sure if entirely accurate, feel free to argue with me in the comments (choose different range, perhaps, I'm pretty much sure the current range is wrong)

wow thats a lot of proof i guess i better get to it.

A lot of your proofs aren't even a day old. Try putting ones that haven't sold for days or weeks.

Many aren't a day old, some are 3 days old, some are weeks old. I just included everything I could find.

A lot of your buyer trades are buying them for below the current low end to resell at or above the current high end like this guy. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9914211

Also trades that aren't even a day old or unbumped don't prove its unsalable at a given price. Its common for items to not sell within the first 24-48 hours on OP and even more common for trades that have never been bumped to go unnoticed by potential buyers.

I think his point in including all the people selling for 6.66 is to prove that nobody is paying the high end, and people asking for 1 key is good proof in itself

Many are new and those that are old dont seem to be bumped very often. specilaly the ones that are selling around 6.22

I have sold for 2 keys....

Almost all of your proof for new range is new or hardly bumped, the ones disproving the current range are also new or hardly bumped.

Looks like my suggestion is inaccurate so far. I'll keep it up for another one or two hours for more feedback and close if necessary.

Closing due to negative feedback. I honestly think 6 ref flat would make a good new price but I'm too lazy to think of new range so whatever. Someone else should make a suggestion. :| I need to do homework now! :O