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so few people trades it and they trade black painted one at 3-4 keys so this should be like 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8919528
level 42 with cream spirit is offered 4 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6319598
and on the community market it sells for 3,5 $
The first link is unsold at 4 keys, and the level 42 vintage doesnt count as vintages like that a supposedly worth more than normal vintages, downvote until better proof is given of successful sellers
community market still counts
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/792-how-to-make-a-good-suggestion-bullet-points-version/
He does make a good point. It sells consistently selling at 3-3.50 on market. And none in stock for a key flat on warehouse. Maybe there is something to this?
The reason I posted this link is because in it is says that steam market prices are unreliable.
Even so, every one of these on outpost is a special level or painted, which means there is almost no good proof existing. I DID search bazaar however.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/90149 Selling for 1 key, unsold for 3 months.
This is all I can find, and I don't dare go to tf2tp and hurt my eyes again. So I'm downvoting based on the only relevant proof.
Alright, I'll just shut up now. Almost everyone is selling for 1 key:
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9351960 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9931058 - sold for 1 key
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9326860 - sold for 1 key
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9311263 - selling for 1 key
And a whole bunch more for a key on tf2tp in the last month. Not a single sale >1 key.
Thanks for checking tp for me. It would make me blind like you if I looked at it :( But now we have good counterproof, so downvotes are assured.
Man, I think the formatting on tf2tp sucks. But it provides the best proof of actual sales. The way I gather evidence for my suggestions is to look at sales on tp and then find the seller on op to show evidence of actual sales. I think there are too many people who base their evidence on unsolds nowadays. And that's just shitty evidence. And that's a lot less work to do then bookmarking trades on op and following them for a few days before making a suggestion.
Unsolds can be good if they're normal items unsold for a week with lots of bumping, especially if there are lots of them. Shows lack of demand for that item. But people are relying on them too heavily now, since Outpost changed their searching system. I'll try your way of finding things, thanks for the tips.
Agreed. But the problem is if you only use unsolds >1 week, you often won't have enough links for a suggestion.
Comments have shown that most sales happen at 1 key, and I didn't really see proof of sales at 1.5 keys