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Updating 3 months old price. 7/9 trades on OP actively bumped. Large supply, some demand. All offers below 19 keys have been rejected, one recently sold for 19 keys. Most sold for unusuals + sweets in the range from 20 to 24 keys. The highest offers are non-pure at around 24 keys. Some trades asking for more than 24 keys all unsold.
High end:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9184743
S: 1 month, B/O 1.5 buds
D: 22 keys, rejected; o.fire bonnet + sweets (22-27 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8281103
S: 2 months
D: N&B jeepcap + 8keys (22-26 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9199748
S: 1 month
D: o. fire glengarry + items worth 2keys (22-27 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10112879
S: 1 day, B/O 1 bud, no offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9260719
S: 1 month, B/O 1 bud
D: 22 keys, C/O'ed
Middle:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9606037
S: 2 weeks
D: blizz. Hetman (18-23 keys), not accepted
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9586272
S: 3 weeks, B/O 1 bud
D: blizz. Hetman (18-23 keys), rejected; items worth 20 keys, rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9677400
S: 2 weeks, B/O 25 keys
D: C/O blizz. Hetman (18-23 keys), wants 3 more keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9994578
S: 5 days
D: 16 keys, rejected; blizz. Hetman (18-23 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10003067
S: 4 days
D: bubbling jeepcap + 1key (19-22 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8510645
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8543355
S: 2 months, B/O 1.5-2 buds
D: 20 keys, rejected; black o. fire football helm + sweets (18-22 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9858835
S: 1 week
D: blizz. Scotch bonnet + 2keys (21-22 keys), C/O'ed
Low end:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9135202
S: 1 month
D: N&B puglist + diamond flamethrower + 2keys (15-18 keys), rejected; smoking scotch bonnet (18-22 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9933588
S: 1 week
D: steaming frenchman's (17-22 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9613263
S: 2 weeks, B/O 1bud - 3keys
D: 18 keys, rejected
SOLD
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9008065
S: 1 month, B/O 1 bud, sold
D: N&B jeepcap + 8keys (22-26 keys), C/O'ed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8933756
S: 1 month, B/O 25 keys
D: sold 1 month ago for flies scotch bonnet + 8keys (22-26 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10029715
S: 3 days, B/O 1 bud, sold for smoking brain bucket + 5 keys in items (22-24 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8536168
S: 2 months, sold 1 month ago for black o. fire football helm + items worth 2keys (20-24 keys)
D: 21 keys + 2keys in ref (23 keys), rejected;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9812627
S: 1 week, B/O 22 keys, likely sold for 22 keys or less
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9687662
S: 2 weeks, B/O 20 keys, likely sold for 20 keys or less
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9048129
S: 1 month, B/O 25 keys, sold for blizz. Blokes (19-22 keys)
D: 23 key offer, retracted; N&B jeepcap + 7keys (21-25 keys), rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9837393
S: 1 week ago sold for 19 keys
Sold mine recently for a Smoking Brain Bucket + 5 keys in sweets as you have linked in your evidence.
I then sold the Brain Bucket for 21 keys and converted most of the sweets into 4+ keys, just got 2 items left. Effectively making 24-25 keys from it.
Either that was a very successful/lucky sale for the Smoking Brain Bucket or its price needs an update. Perhaps you should look into it and maybe add a suggestion. :)
My theory is that Smoking and Steaming effects are going up in price a little bit, while weather effects are going down.
I'm not a fan of those effects, but if it is so, it could be a good opportunity for some small (or not so small?) profit.
i m not sure if it really needs to change price since counting unusual overpay(middle*0,9) and therefore i dont see any offers above 23 keys
Unusual overpay already accounted for in the prices, though not as 90% of the middle value. I don't think that 0.9*middle is necessarily the best way to do it.
Actually it seems that you have only copied range and did nothin... Therefore ofire bonet~ 21.2 keys+ 2 keys is 23.2 and it s best offer i guess. You complain that is only a key since your price change is only a key