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Yeah, my first Unusual price suggestion. I was looking into Unusual Tyroleans on Outpost and noticed they didn't seem to be of that high demand, with many unsold with 3 bud B/O's.
Unsold at 3 bud B/O:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9590346 (offer of Blizz Tyrant's, O. Fire Slope Scopers, yet again Nuts Modest + sweets, Blizz Fez,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10013430 (Blizz Tyro + Searing Mountain Cap for his Lantern Softcap)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10027721 (Steaming Anger, 2 pure)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9932453 (offer of Nuts Modest + sweets)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9704536 (Nuts Modest + sweets, Scorching Gatsby, untradeable V. Concheror, Ghosts Marauder + Bill's, )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10132146 (Eerie Fire Mullet)
Sorry if this is not set up correctly, I did all I could. I just thought this should have a slight drop, seeing most Unusual offers are around the 2.8-3 bud area.
Incidentally, the Soldier's Slopes seem to not be worth the backpack.tf's listed 2.9-3.2, so that could be good fodder for your second suggestion.
Apart from that, seems to be good proof. Upvote on my part.