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Sorry, last suggestion didn't show the range price for some reason, I guess I didn't click it correctly.
Sellers:
2 Sellers for 1.6 and 1.75 keys: http://puu.sh/2D1rU.png
Selling for 1 key + 2refs (1 key offer): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10126604
Offer of 1 key + 3 refs: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10166568
Unsold for 2 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10161007; http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10175108; http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10180276; (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10176578); http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10073821...
Buyers with offers:
Someone offered to sell it for 1 key - 1 week old: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9766720
Has bought for 1 key + 2 refs (last comment, see trade owners history of his 1st cockfighter): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10138561
Third comment from bottom offered to sell it for 1 key + 3 ref: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9959643
Same thing, person who offered said he sold it for 1 key + 3 ref: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10064098
Offers 1 key +1.66 ref for it, didn't bought (person who offered is from previous link): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10137132
Not quite 1.5 yet, but 2 key sales are lacking. I'd say it's better than the current price.