Eerie Orbiting Fire is lower on the tier list than Purple Energy or Circling Hearts.

BUT, those two effects never had prices for 9 months. (I might look into those personally)

Only one on outpost at the moment

*all non-pure offers have been calculated with overpay

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10138014

-B/O: 2 buds + 20 keys = 2.9 buds

-4 days old

-No offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9597906

-B/o: 3 buds

-2 weeks old

Offers:

-Smoking Honcho’s Headgear (1.7 buds) + sweets

-SF Bat + SF Buff = 1.1 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9597871

-Unusual offers

-3 weeks old

Offers:

-Steaming Hottie’s Hoodie (1.3 buds)

-Orb. Fire Connoisseur’s Cap (1.4 buds)

-Steaming Honcho’s Headgear (1.5 buds)

-Bubbling Flamboyant Flamenco (1.5 buds) + SF Axtinguisher = 1.7 buds

-SF Bat + SF Buff = 1.1 buds

-Steaming Defiant Spartan (1.3 buds)

-Searing Plasma Handyman’s Handle (1.1 buds)

PREVIOUS OWNER:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9233031

-B/O: 3 buds

-1 month old

Offers:

-S Frying Pan (1.3 buds, 1 month ago)

SOLD FOR: Cauldron Bubbles Brigade Helm (3.5 buds) + G. Energy Batter’s Helm (3.7 buds) = 7.2 buds

-Added a Sunbeams Batter’s Helm (4.4 buds)

PRICE OF GLOVE BASED ON THESE OFFERS: 2.8 buds

OUTLIER

PREVIOUS OWNER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8992698

-B/O: 2 buds

-1 month old

Offers:

-LOL (got a free report)

SOLD FOR: P. Energy Football Helmet (1.8 buds)

PREVIOUS OWNER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8843583

-B/O: 2 buds

-1 month old

Offers:

-Vivid Plasma Hotrod (1.7 buds)

-G. Confetti Brigade Helm (0.8 buds) + SF Ambassador + 2 keys + sweets = 1.1 buds+

-NB Company Man (1.6 buds)

-Stormy Napper’s Respite (1.6 buds)

-Stormy Safe N’ Sound (1.2 buds)

SOLD FOR: Stormy Vintage Merryweather (1.7 buds 1 month ago)

PREVIOUS OWNER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8762582

-B/O: 2.5 buds

-1 month old

Offers:

-Stormy Napper’s Respite (1.6 buds)

SOLD FOR: Stormy 13th Hour Prancer’s Pride (2.5 buds)

PREVIOUS OWNER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8676988

-B/O deleted

-1 month old

Offers:

-Bubbling El Jefe (1.8 buds) + 5 keys = 2 buds

Unknown what it was sold for

CONCLUSIONS: Offers really do get worse over time, but there have been convincing sales around 2 buds. I’m going to count the multi-unusual trade (2.8 buds) as an outlier, since that doesn’t happen.

LOW END: 1.7 buds based on highest unusual offers, majority of all offers being around that area.

HIGH END: 2.5 buds based on highest recent sale and a met B/O.

If you have any thoughts to share, please leave a comment.