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Needs a move down, it appears. 5 month old price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9021537 - Sold for 4.5
One was offered for 4.8. Owner of the offer can be found at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9412649 ; at which offers top at 4.8 one time and 4.5 a few times over the span of a month+. Highest offers are Stormy Bomber + (then) 0.3 pure (~4.8) Lantern Guadalajara (~4.5), Scorching Shako (~4.5) and PE Trophy (~4.3).
^bg:: one person want to trade me Unusual Dr Dapper Effect Harvest Moon for 4.8 earbuds
^bg:: he said 4buds + Cromatic bill ( 14keys) + 4 keys
Screenshot: http://i.imgur.com/ipMDLJr.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9925660 - Offered Scorching Shako (4.5) and 4.5 pure as his highest. Only up for ~1.5 weeks though.
Any more links would be pretty cool.
~4.6 is too low.
I just sold one of those in no time for 5 in cash.
Proof:
Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10084663
Rep after trade: http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/133511-evilbananas-Rep-Thread?p=1478098&viewfull=1#post1478098
The trade was up for less than a week when I sold the hat, so I'd actually say that 5 isn't even close to the maximum you could fetch for it either.
135 Euro = 176.53 USD = ~4.7 buds @ 38/bud (backpack.tf standard). It's actually 4.64 but I'm being generous because as you said it was taken relatively quickly, which doesn't hold too much standing. Either way, there was a sale at 4.5, which is the primary reason for a 4.5 low end.
My math is different, I'd even argue it's more realistic then a bud@38 too: 1.20 Euro per key, 23 keys per bud (1,20x23x5) = 138 Euro, rounded down because cash is king. (Keep in mind that those are bud/key prices from a week ago).
I quickbought mine for 4, but that shouldn't be the low end either. In fact, I had an offer of 4.5 pure on mine from a girl called Yeti a day after puting the hat up already.
I see where you're coming from. I have no idea about EU key rates, I'll ask Woifi when he comes online. It's not that I don't trust you, I just like to gather as much info as I can.
Don't worry about it, If I didn't want to help you price that hat more accurately, I wouldn't have shared my experience. I don't expect you to do more than to consider it.
Oh, if something's more accurate, I resubmit with that range. Just need to check is all. If it passes and 5 buds is realistic, feel free to redo my suggestion.
v I can't reply to your comment, but alright. If this is still open and Woifi confirms, 4.5-5 will be the new range.
I don't make suggestion myself, I prefer to leave that to more enthusiastic members of this community, like yourself.