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sold mine for harvest chieftains+blizz tc+beams little buddy+nuts and bolts luchadore+sf huntsman+14 keys after having it for around 2 months, and current owner seems to be getting offers of around this range, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10068797 and the burning gentlemans ushanka sold 1:1 for a logo ke, so the burning ushanka+beak offer is also within this range.
According to my math, that I don't necessary trust, you have not taken into consideration unusual overpay. Your sale and the ushanka + beak offer are much closer to your low range than your high.
hm, okay but i still believe offers fall within that range, current range is too high