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~122 keys
moon
Unusual Outdoorsman Cloudy Moon
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5 months old price. Most B/O set at 6 pure. One sold for 6.7 in unusuals = 6 pure. Multiple offers of 5.4-5.6 in unusuals rejected.


ACTUAL SALES:

6.7 in unusuals - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8811370 - secret hound dog + small sweets - was willing to sell for 5 pure


4 pure - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9650898 - quicksold


CURRENT TRADES:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8733838

Best Offers:

6.7 in unusuals - secret hound dog

5.5 in unusuals - knifestorm hound dog

lol, check out his offer of a beams tc.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9268730 - B/O 6 pure - 1 month old

Best Offers: 5.6 in unusuals - knifestorm hound dog + sweets


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6460407 - B/O 6

Best Offers: 5.4 in mixed - knifestorm gatsby + SF huntsman + s mantreads


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10158558

Best Offers: 5.6 in unusuals - stormy wraith wrap + sweets


Conclusions:

Most B/O at 6 pure. One sold for 6.7 in unusuals = 6 pure. Multiple rejected offers of 5.4-5.6 in unusuals, so setting low end at 5.2 for now.

    Don't really see 6 as being reasonable considering that there was a willing seller at 5 (got lucky and got more), and not a single other offer above 5.6. So, that one offer was probably an outlier.


    So, i'd say 5-5.4 would be better. 5.4 since its a bit higher than the highest rejected offer.

      Yea, I considered that as well. But there was actually another sale that I think went for 6 pure about a month ago. Problem is that I couldn't verify it and it was sold to a collector who was willing to pay the b/o - fbi heavy guy is trying to collect every single heavy hat. Anyways, considering the uncertainty, I decided to stick with a conservative bump down since there is that documented sale at 6.7 in unusuals.


      EDIT: here is that trade - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8859724 - I actually think (knowing heavyguy) he paid the full b/o that would come out to 6+ in pure.