8 month old price, changed a bit

*all non-pure offers have been calculated with overpay

*for this one specifically, I will go back farther than 1 month because of how scarce this thing is

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10114055

-only one on market

-1 week old

-no buyout

Offers:

-1 bud + 10 keys + Black V. Vintage Tyrolean + Pink + Lime + 10 refined = 1.8 buds

-Smoking Snaggletooth (1.4 buds) + Blizzard Hard Counter (0.9 buds) = 2.3 buds

-NB VR Headset (1.9 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8549307

-2 months

Offers:

-1.5 buds (1 month ago)

-2 buds (1 month ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8106965

-2 months

Offers:

-Searing Mask (2 buds, obviously not Shaman’s Mask)

PREVIOUS OWNER

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7585663

-3 months ago

-buyout: 2 buds/60 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7263334

-3 months ago

Offers:

-G. Energy Copper (1.7 buds)

-Steaming Hat with No Name (1.2 buds)

-Scorching Hetman’s Headpiece (1.7 buds)

SOLD FOR: 1 bud + BMOC on January 1-6, 2013 (1.7 buds 4 months ago)

-previous owner’s bp: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998805089

-current owner’s bp: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992199173

Quite a large drop, not getting anywhere near 3 buds anymore. Even though it is only one with such a short history, what people are willing to pay for it says otherwise. Low end based on last recorded sale, and high end based on highest recent offer.

Of course, I may be wrong, so please help if you can.