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~29 keys
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Unusual Modest Pile of Hat Circling TF Logo
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Logo > all. 4 on OP, one of which is only selling in a set in an attempt to upgrade.


(If anyone has a better way for me to format my proof to make it more readable please say something).


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10045771


3 pure + Logo Trilby (3.9)

'100+ keys' (~4.5)

Bud + Black Max's + Logo Trilby (~3.9-4 again)

Orbiting Fire PE + 2 buds + White Bills (~4.2)

Blizzardy Company Man (2.5 and laughed at).


The offers on this trade cap at 4.5 pure (the guy offered it for two weeks from now, and hasn't posted since, so I'm not sure what that's worth as evidence). Consistent offers around 4 - 4.2 in Unusuals, which comes out to around 3.7 with overpay (the high end of the current range).


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9945710


3 pure + Logo Trilby (3.9, same guy as before)

Planets Yellow Belt + Bubbles Bonk Boy + 1 pure (~5 buds)

4 pure + Planets Yellow Belt (again, ~5 buds)


Offers on this trade are a little nicer, sitting right around 5 buds mixed, or somewhere between 4.5 and 4.7 with overpay. Definitely higher than the current range, considering there's 4 pure mixed in there with an unusual.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8838620


Flies Modest 1:1 (3.6 buds)

Steaming Executioner (4.7)

Green Fetti KE (6.9!)

2 buds + Stormy Conquistador (~3.7)

HH + Nuts Lucha (~4.2)


This one seems to have gotten a massive outlier, although I'm starting to think the Fetti KE is also outdated, since the guy ended up selling it for a Flies Modest. Regardless, offers here come out to around 3.5 - 3.8 with overpay.


In conclusion, the three trades with offers on Outpost show what kind of a range you could be getting on this hat. You could fairly easily get the high end for this, judging by past offers, and it looks fairly easy to well surpass that as well.


Feel free to post counterproof, although there's not many recent offers that I haven't included.


edit: buyouts are all 5 - 6, not that that matters at all.